The Tanc gave a few town hall meetings this past weekend (see pictures in previous posts), and immigration and border security was the hottest topic (not by The Tanc, but by the audience). Yes, Tancredo talked about more than one issue, but, at each town hall meeting, when I asked at least a dozen people why they supported The Tanc immigration was invariably prime.
Peter Brown points out that the illegal alien amnesty was defeated by Republicans and Democrats alike. He's highlighting a key fact we must know:
The immigration mess showed that not every divisive issue in American politics is partisan. Much has been made of the split among Republicans over immigration, but in the end it was the division among Senate Democrats that was the most surprising.
Nevertheless, we must be prepared for the return. It's not over yet:
Even as the Senate dealt a likely fatal blow to President Bush's push to overhaul the nation's immigration laws, some Democrats and Republicans began talking about trying to pass narrower, less ambitious pieces.
Empowered by Thursday's 46-53 vote that effectively killed a bipartisan compromise bill dismissed by many conservatives as amnesty for millions of illegal immigrants, many Republicans now are reverting to their key priority: increased enforcement at the Southwest border and in the U.S. interior.
And Democrats, for their part, are considering offering the DREAM Act, which would grant citizenship to illegal immigrant students. And they are looking at ways to address acute labor shortages in agriculture by bringing in more foreign farm workers and placing them on a path to legal permanent residence.
Michael Barone interestingly observes that the majority of Americans will accept amnesty, if the government is trusted on enforcement of borders and immigration laws:
As pollster Scott Rasmussen has shown, the opposition to the bill was fueled less by anger at "amnesty," the idea that illegals would be rewarded for breaking the law, than it was by an astringent skepticism that it would provide real border security. Americans may be willing to forgive those who were, by the actions of government and the inactions of voters, effectively invited to violate the law. But they don't seem to be willing to trust a government to enforce the law when it hasn't seemed to.
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There's not much hope that Congress will pass a big immigration bill this year or next. But the administration, by charging ahead on border security and setting the stage for a national identity card, can move the public toward accepting a comprehensive immigration bill in the years ahead.
A New York Times editorial on Saturday notes immigration's role in this presidential race:
The [immigration] debate will surely dominate the presidential campaign, where the odds of reasoned discussion and principled leadership are mighty slim.